My trading system mainly relies on moving average combinations, with the longest period using MA540 (equivalent to MA180 on a 3-day chart), so I don't pay much attention to weekly and monthly charts. The 540-K line cycle is sufficient to fully capture a trend. Occasionally, I compare divergence situations on weekly and monthly charts for validation.

According to previous ideas, when the price breaks through MA38, I will establish a long position in preparation for a rebound. But when the medium- and long-term moving averages show a continuous downward pressure, during the process of the price moving from 38 to 60, I will close the long position at the first contact near MA60—expected around 93,700, with the worst case possibly breaking through to 94,000. Of course, I might also miss the sell opportunity, but the dense moving average resistance above is there, making it hard to break through.

As time progresses, the medium- and long-term moving averages continue to decline, eventually forming a bearish divergence attack pattern. Based on the historical performance of such patterns, a volatile trend is expected to form within 1-2 months, continuing until around January-February next year, at which point a significant correction may occur. At that stage, no low-multiplier leverage or ancient big players can withstand it; they can only cut losses and exit. The more it falls, the more you buy, the deeper the trap.

The most reliable current strategy is to protect the principal and avoid frequent operations. Wait for opportunities like Bitcoin falling below 50,000 or Sol dropping below 30 to bottom out before taking action, which usually yields a 1-2x expected return. Strongly recommend not to add leverage; controlling risk is the long-term survival rule.