#数字资产市场动态 Bitcoin has been in a long consolidation phase since the end of November. On the daily chart, it has adjusted for about 30 K-lines, and the decline after the black swan event has clearly stabilized. Currently, this wave of consolidation may still need about ten days to fully digest, in one word — accumulation phase.

From a technical perspective, a sufficiently long period of box consolidation can mean anything; the probabilities of rise or fall are roughly equal. But the key is to look at the larger cycle context — Bitcoin has rebroken the key trend line. Considering this background, I think the probability of an upward move is slightly higher.

There’s also a detail that cannot be ignored: at the 87,000 level, there is dense support, and institutional funds are very active here. This usually indicates that a major trend is brewing.

The current advice is straightforward: don’t rush to act, let the bullets fly a little longer, and wait until the right moment is truly ripe before making a move. Warren Buffett once said something very classic — a master baseball player never swings wildly, only strikes at the perfect moment. Trading is the same principle.