2025-12-28 01:40:27

#数字资产市场动态 💥💥The Survival Guide in the Crypto Market: Last Longer vs. Make Money Fast

$CARV's candlestick charts are highly volatile, $ZKP's information bombardment never stops, and $TRU's every rise and fall tests psychological limits—this is the daily life in the crypto world.

Everyone comes in with dreams of getting rich quickly, but few think about the fact that this is not a wealth creation factory, but a survival race about who can last longer.

Five years of market ups and downs have made it clear to me—making money is easy, but staying alive is hard. Here are three core survival rules I’ve summarized.

**1. Risk Awareness Is Your True Destiny**

The top gainers list is tempting, but the first thing smart people do is look at liquidation data.

Any investment decision should start not with opportunity, but with risk management. Before building a position, you must force yourself to ask three questions:

What is the darkest failure path for this project?

How long can I hold out before I can’t buy in anymore?

Where is my stop-loss line, and have I really written it down?

Observing the losers around me, I realize that most people don’t fail because they see the wrong direction, but because they cling to vague expectations. Those who survive share a common trait: their bottom line is clear and uncompromising.

**2. See Through Narrative Traps and Focus on Two Real Anchors**

Every bull and bear cycle weaves new stories—DeFi exploded, NFTs went crazy, GameFi boomed, and now RWA is being hyped again.

But whether these narratives can truly withstand the cycle depends on two bottom lines:

**Technical Anchor**: Does this project create value that others cannot? Or is it just a copy with a different name?

**Economic Anchor**: Can the token’s liquidity mechanism form a positive cycle? Or is it doomed to rely on continuous fundraising and marketing blood transfusions?

When the deviation between narrative and reality exceeds 90%, it’s not innovation—it’s a warning of a bubble. Bubbles are not scary in themselves; what’s scary is that you can’t see yourself suffocating inside one.

**3. Position Size Is Not Just a Number, But a Real-Time Reflection of Market Temperature**

Portfolio allocation should not be static; it must follow the market’s temperature.

Use the Fear and Greed Index as a reference:

**Bottom Phase** (index below 20): 40% mainstream coins + 60% stablecoins, seize rare opportunities but keep enough cash.

**Volatility Range** (index 20-60): 30% mainstream coins + 20% rotating themes + 50% stablecoins, switch flexibly but don’t go all-in.

**Crazy Top** (index above 80): gradually lock in profits into stablecoins, leaving only the gains already made to continue betting.

Human history does not repeat itself exactly, but human greed does. Every carnival’s end hides lessons that couldn’t be learned in the last round. Looking at historical candlestick charts, we see that we’ve never truly learned to predict the future based on the past, but at least we should learn not to fall into the same pit twice.

CARV-0.15%

ZKP-3.7%

TRU-11.71%

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LiquidityOracle

· 8h ago

After all these years, some people are still gambling for a big fortune... Living is really much harder than making money. --- I just want to know how many people have actually written down their stop-loss lines. --- The narrative trap hits a nerve; every time they tout new concepts with dazzling ideas, but it's still the same old tricks. --- The bottom range is 40 for mainstream and 60 for stablecoins... easy to say, but when it hits 99, the hands still tremble. --- When the greed index exceeds 80, it's time to run. Everyone understands the principle, but no one can do it. --- Five years and still repeating the same mistakes, we really can't learn. --- The most heartbreaking thing is — most people don't even know when they should be afraid.

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pvt_key_collector

· 8h ago

Damn, I finally said it. No one takes the stop-loss line seriously at all, and as a result, a single pullback shatters dreams. --- After all these years, I still believe the same: mindset is more valuable than skills, but no one believes it. --- This set of theories about position allocation sounds perfect, but in actual operation, the fear index skyrockets. Who can really do it? --- The most heartbreaking thing is that line "died in vague expectations," calling out someone by name and poking me. --- RWA is back again. History really is a joke; we're still repeating the same stories. --- Writing down the stop-loss line and actually executing it are two different things. Most people get stuck here. --- Risk frameworks may sound like nonsense, but those who坚持 doing it really survive. Ironic, isn't it?

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RuntimeError

· 8h ago

You speak very harshly, but this is the reality... Those around me who made money all set their stop-losses early and walked away. Living long is indeed much harder than making quick money; most people are still dreaming of a turnaround. Look at me as a negative example; vague expectations are deadly. This article really hits the nail on the head, especially that sentence "90% deviation," now the story of RWA has that flavor. But to be honest, which projects that insist on landing actually exist? It feels like everyone is just telling stories. I need to recalculate my position allocation; right now, I definitely don't meet the standards for any stage.

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fren_with_benefits

· 8h ago

It's so heartbreaking... Just looking at the bunch of people getting liquidated around me, I realize they all died because they didn't set their stop-loss levels. Really, living long is the key, don't always think about going all-in. A 90% deviation = bubble warning. This should be in everyone's mind. The problem is most people can't even see that they're suffocating... Position sizes following market temperature sounds simple but is deadly to implement. Those who say they can predict the future precisely... laughable, the history is right there. But on the other hand, those who truly survive do have a strange sense of calm.

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PoetryOnChain

· 8h ago

That hits too close to home. I really know a lot of people who died chasing "vague expectations," and they are still waiting for a bailout. --- Talking about stop-loss lines is easy; writing about them is hard. Many people agree in words but go all-in right after. --- I saw the RWA cycle go from being hyped to shattered with my own eyes. Now some people are still telling new stories—laughable. --- The 90% deviation statement is spot on; it's basically painting a picture of these current projects. --- I use the approach of linking position size to temperature; it's much more reliable than rigid allocation and feels like I’ve been around longer. --- After seeing so many people lose everything and even borrow money, I realize that risk management is worth way more than dreams. --- Don’t fall into the same trap twice... but some people just have such a bad memory. --- When K-line prices surge, no one thinks about liquidation data; everyone is just dreaming of getting rich overnight. --- Surviving in reality and making money are never the same thing. --- This article is about survivor bias in the crypto world. Those who survive are all telling stories; those who die never get to speak.

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