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#比特币与黄金战争 $ZEC suddenly rebounded 17%, while $ZEN and $DASH are falling sharply—Is this a real rebound for privacy coins or just a fleeting moment?
Recently, the privacy coin circle has been quite lively. While the entire market was struggling, ZEC managed to pull itself up, with a 24-hour increase of 14.36%, now priced at $512.25, with a market cap reaching $8.465 billion. But looking back at the other two members of the "Privacy Coin Trio"—SCRT and DASH—they are in a worse state, down 4.4% and 3.3% respectively. It seems larger-cap coins still attract more attention.
But the story behind this isn’t that simple.
Interestingly, privacy coins were leading the rally last month. How quickly the situation has reversed. The whole market has fallen about 2.5%, but privacy coins, as smaller tokens, are more volatile. Trading volumes are shrinking, and funds are on the sidelines—that’s the current state. There are three main issues weighing on privacy coins:
**First is the regulatory trend.** New crypto regulations proposed in the US and updated anti-money laundering rules in the EU are targeting privacy features, making projects and investors nervous.
**Second is the technical weakness across the board.** SCRT has fallen over 31% this month with significantly reduced trading volume; ZEC was hit with $1.44 million in long liquidations at a key price level; DASH also failed to hold an important support. RSI indicates oversold conditions, but no one dares to buy the dip, everyone is waiting.
**Third is capital rotation.** Bitcoin’s dominance has risen to 59%, and the Fear & Greed Index is only 29, indicating the market is still quite fearful. Funds are flowing into mainstream coins, and the privacy narrative is temporarily out of favor.
Can ZEC make a full comeback to the historic high of $5900? Honestly, it depends on a few conditions: the overall privacy sector needs to warm up, the market needs to stabilize, and regulatory pressure needs to ease. This recent countertrend rally does show some funds are paying attention to ZEC, but whether it can sustain in the short term depends on whether Bitcoin can truly stabilize. Under regulatory pressure, the rebound path for privacy coins will definitely be more turbulent than other sectors.