After so many years of trading, the biggest insight I’ve gained can be summarized in one sentence — simplifying complex things is often the beginning of making money.
I still remember when I first entered the market, wanting to learn every indicator and try every trading strategy. Candlestick charts, moving averages, MACD, Bollinger Bands… countless methodologies out there. At that time, I truly believed that the more tools I mastered, the closer I was to success. But what was the result? I became more and more confused. It took me years to realize one truth: tools themselves are not valuable; what matters is how you use them, and more importantly, whether you can stick with them after using them.
This time, I want to share not those complex systems that require several books to explain, but six core rules that I have tested in real trading and that can genuinely make money. These are accumulated from the turbulent crypto markets, and I hope they can help everyone avoid some pitfalls.
**123 Rule: The Key to Spotting Trend Reversals**
This rule is like the foundation of my trading system — incredibly simple to use but highly effective. It actually originates from the classic Dow Theory, but it’s especially intuitive for judging trend reversals.
How to understand it? Imagine a wave of decline finally coming to a halt. The price begins to stabilize gradually, then breaks above the previous downtrend line — this is the first key point. Next, the price may retrace, which is normal, but the focus is — it no longer makes new lows, which is the second key point. Then, the price moves upward again, this time breaking through the previous rebound high — the third key point. Connecting these three points forms an "N" shape, which signals a possible trend reversal.
When applying this to major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum, I pay special attention to trading volume. A genuine trend reversal will be accompanied by a significant increase in volume — this is the most convincing confirmation signal. If the price forms a 123 structure but volume doesn’t increase, I usually wait a bit longer, as markets can be very deceptive.
Within the rules is technique; outside the rules is mindset. No matter how perfect the methodology, poor execution is useless. The most valuable aspect of these six rules isn’t their complexity but their resilience under market testing. I hope these experiences can help you on your trading journey.
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NotFinancialAdvice
· 3h ago
To be honest, this 123 rule sounds like it has some substance, but I still hold the same view—there's a huge gap between knowing and doing.
Persistence is the hardest part, really.
As for trading volume, there's no doubt—it's a solid indicator of verification, much more reliable than just looking at K-line charts.
The biggest pitfall for beginners is greed; wanting to learn everything but not mastering any of it. I've seen many people die trying.
Wait, are you talking about the classic reversal pattern when you mention the 123 rule? It feels like someone rediscovering it every month, haha.
But all in all, sticking to a simple system is much more effective than messing around randomly, I have to admit.
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GweiTooHigh
· 4h ago
Well said, I was the one caught up in the pile of indicators. Only later did I realize that sometimes less is more.
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DegenWhisperer
· 4h ago
There's nothing wrong with that; simplification is the way.
Really, at first, I was learning everything, and only later did I realize that this is digging a pit.
I've used the 123 rule set, and it definitely helped avoid many pitfalls.
Persistence outweighs tools; this is something that must be ingrained.
Trading volume is the real bro; technical lines are just a smokescreen.
Again with this set; I just want to ask, did it make money?
Wait, these 6 rules haven't been finished yet?
On mindset, you're right, but how do you ensure execution?
Repeated validation is indeed interesting; the market just loves to deceive.
Simple and effective > complex and advanced; finally, someone said it.
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RugDocScientist
· 4h ago
Simplicity is king; complex systems are the killers of trading.
Having more tools is useless; execution is the real gold and silver.
The 123 rule sounds simple, but in practice, it's still easy to get trapped.
Volume confirmation is truly key; otherwise, it's just a hunting ground for false breakouts.
Sticking to one method > messing around with ten indicators, I have deep experience with this.
Mindset > technology; I've heard this countless times, but few actually do it.
After so many years of trading, the biggest insight I’ve gained can be summarized in one sentence — simplifying complex things is often the beginning of making money.
I still remember when I first entered the market, wanting to learn every indicator and try every trading strategy. Candlestick charts, moving averages, MACD, Bollinger Bands… countless methodologies out there. At that time, I truly believed that the more tools I mastered, the closer I was to success. But what was the result? I became more and more confused. It took me years to realize one truth: tools themselves are not valuable; what matters is how you use them, and more importantly, whether you can stick with them after using them.
This time, I want to share not those complex systems that require several books to explain, but six core rules that I have tested in real trading and that can genuinely make money. These are accumulated from the turbulent crypto markets, and I hope they can help everyone avoid some pitfalls.
**123 Rule: The Key to Spotting Trend Reversals**
This rule is like the foundation of my trading system — incredibly simple to use but highly effective. It actually originates from the classic Dow Theory, but it’s especially intuitive for judging trend reversals.
How to understand it? Imagine a wave of decline finally coming to a halt. The price begins to stabilize gradually, then breaks above the previous downtrend line — this is the first key point. Next, the price may retrace, which is normal, but the focus is — it no longer makes new lows, which is the second key point. Then, the price moves upward again, this time breaking through the previous rebound high — the third key point. Connecting these three points forms an "N" shape, which signals a possible trend reversal.
When applying this to major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum, I pay special attention to trading volume. A genuine trend reversal will be accompanied by a significant increase in volume — this is the most convincing confirmation signal. If the price forms a 123 structure but volume doesn’t increase, I usually wait a bit longer, as markets can be very deceptive.
Within the rules is technique; outside the rules is mindset. No matter how perfect the methodology, poor execution is useless. The most valuable aspect of these six rules isn’t their complexity but their resilience under market testing. I hope these experiences can help you on your trading journey.