2025-12-27 17:24:51

Next Thursday is New Year's Day holiday, and the trading hours of major exchanges will be adjusted. Remember to check in advance. The reverse repurchase yields before and after the holiday are usually quite attractive, but only if you manage your funds and risk properly—don't ruin yourself for a small gain.

From a macro perspective, there are two key economic data releases next week. China's official manufacturing PMI for December will be released at 09:30 Beijing time next Wednesday, which is the market's focus. Then, on next Friday at 21:30, the US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI will also be announced. These two data points will directly influence market sentiment.

Looking at commodity markets, precious metals performed well this week, with gold reaching a new high, and market sentiment starting to warm up. However, compared to silver and copper, gold's market enthusiasm has cooled somewhat. Silver, on the other hand, has had an "epic" performance this week, with daily fluctuations of 1000 to 2000 points becoming the norm. Such extreme volatility requires high risk management; everyone must control their positions carefully. If silver experiences a sharp decline later, gold is likely to adjust in the short term as well. The correlation between the two cannot be ignored.

Crude oil prices surged this week but then retreated, indicating further weakening on the demand side. Next week and in the near future, close attention should be paid to whether oil prices will hit new lows, as this will impact the overall rhythm of commodities.

In the bond market, long-term government bond yields have fallen this week, approaching key resistance levels. If they can break through next week, it may signal a shift towards a more optimistic bond market sentiment. US Treasuries performed relatively steadily, and the generally calm market before and after the holiday is normal. The current strategy of holding bonds for income remains relatively prudent.

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

8 Likes

Reward
8
7
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

FlashLoanLarry

· 5h ago

Silver is going crazy this wave, with daily fluctuations of over 1000 points. This is true excitement. But you need to be cautious; going all-in on a single shot isn't worth it. PMI data will reveal its true colors next week, and there will likely be another wave of volatility then. Reverse repurchase agreement yields are indeed attractive, but don't be greedy. There's not enough time before the holiday to mess around. Are government bond yields approaching resistance levels? If they can't break through, it's time to consider changing direction. If oil prices fall again, the entire commodities sector will also cool down. Keep a close eye on it. Silver and gold are now highly correlated; when one throws a tantrum, the other follows suit. With US debt this way, holding bonds and earning interest is truly a risk-free way to profit.

View OriginalReply0

0xLuckbox

· 5h ago

Silver's epic rally is truly incredible, jumping from 1000 to 2000 points and it's hard to hold on The small gains from reverse repos are indeed tempting, but don't risk it just for that A new high in gold sounds great, but be cautious about following the trend to buy in Next Wednesday's PMI and the US data on the 5th, these two need to be closely watched If oil prices hit new lows again, commodities as a whole could be finished Breaking through resistance levels in bonds could lead to a surge, but it's easier said than done... The link between silver and gold really needs vigilance; a sharp drop in one will likely cause the other to run away Adjustments to exchange trading hours before the holiday can easily lead to pitfalls Holding bonds for income is indeed stable, but now watching the new national bonds is necessary Only with proper position control can you survive and profit in this wave of market行情

View OriginalReply0

StablecoinArbitrageur

· 5h ago

honestly the silver correlation play here is *chef's kiss*—if you've actually been monitoring the 14-day rolling volatility, those 1000-2000 point swings are basically statistical arbitrage on steroids. classic rookie move to chase that without stress-testing your liquidation thresholds first ngl

Reply0

GasBandit

· 5h ago

Silver this wave is really incredible, a daily roller coaster, I almost got thrown out. Luckily, I reduced my position in advance. --- Next week, those two PMI data points must be closely watched, especially China's, which seems to be stirring up a storm. --- Reverse repurchase yields are indeed tempting, but don't be greedy. Taking profits when the time is right is the way to go. --- Gold hit a new high but still feels cold, compared to that, silver is really causing some trouble. --- Oil prices need to be watched carefully; if they fall further, the entire commodity market will tremble. --- It would be great if treasury yields can break through the resistance level; market sentiment might really warm up. --- Holiday exchange adjustments, I need to check the exact timing quickly so I won't be caught off guard. --- Position control is always a common topic, but the volatility of silver this week is really testing everyone's discipline. --- U.S. bonds are quite stable; holding bonds during the holiday and earning interest comfortably is still nice.

View OriginalReply0

retroactive_airdrop

· 5h ago

The silver market this time is truly incredible, jumping up and down every day, almost making my hands tremble and break Be cautious with reverse repurchase operations, don't chase those small gains and end up shooting yourself in the foot PMI data will be released next Monday, this wave is indeed a watershed Gold has cooled down, but silver and copper are still taking the spotlight If oil prices fall again, all commodities will need to adjust accordingly, be on alert The bond yield is about to break through, this might be a turning point Position management is crucial, the volatility in silver has been too intense, really Next Wednesday at 9:30, keep a close eye on PMI, this is key Holding bonds for interest income is currently the safest, don't mess around with other strategies for now The market has been extremely fast-paced these past two weeks, stay alert at all times

View OriginalReply0

NotSatoshi

· 6h ago

Silver is going crazy; the fluctuations are really outrageous. Gold is following suit too quickly; when it drops together, no one can escape. If oil prices hit new lows again, a reallocation is really necessary. PMI data will reveal its true colors next week; get prepared in advance. Reverse repo yields look tempting, but don’t be blinded by the returns. The recent breakthrough in bonds is interesting and worth paying attention to. Trading hours are adjusted before the holiday; watch out so you don’t get caught in a trap. Silver fluctuates 2,000 points a day; my palms are sweating. Are government bond yields about to break out? There might be a chance next week. Crude oil remains very weak; pay more attention to demand factors moving forward.

View OriginalReply0

LiquiditySurfer

· 6h ago

The daily fluctuations of 1000-2000 points in silver are really playing with fire; only idle funds dare to touch it. If it breaks through that resistance level, the sentiment in the bond market might really shift. Reversal repo yields are tempting, but it's not worth collapsing your position allocation for just a few basis points. How the PMI data will move next week—bulls and bears are both holding their breath. If oil prices hit new lows again, the entire commodities rhythm might need to be restructured. Gold has reached a new high, but the enthusiasm has cooled down—this contrast is quite interesting.

View OriginalReply0