Bitcoin's relative value to gold may be halved by 2026, dropping from 20 times to 10 times

2025-12-27 17:20:09

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【Crypto World】An analyst predicts that by 2026, the relative value of Bitcoin compared to gold may undergo a significant adjustment—dropping from the current 20 times the gold price to 10 times. What is the logic behind this prediction? It turns out that the Bitcoin-to-gold ratio is considered an important indicator of economic recession. Interestingly, this ratio shows a significant correlation with stock markets and market volatility, with a correlation coefficient close to 0.5376, indicating that they tend to move together as a “risk appetite/risk aversion” portfolio.

Looking ahead to 2026, analysts also forecast several key potential lows: core CPI may approach 1%, oil prices could fall to around $40 per barrel, and Bitcoin might be near $50,000. These predictions are based on a comprehensive assessment of macroeconomic cycles and asset correlations, reflecting expectations of economic slowdown and reassessment of risk assets.

BTC0.5%

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CoffeeNFTs

· 7h ago

2026 cut in half? Another clickbait headline. These predictions happen every year and have never been accurate. If Bitcoin drops to 50,000, I would have already gone all in. The question is whether you believe it or not. Gold as a safe haven, Bitcoin as a gamble—when the economy really recession hits, no one can escape it. Don’t deceive yourself. The ratio from 20x to 10x sounds impressive, but it’s really just about macro cycles. Nothing new. Why is there again a correlation coefficient of 0.53... Where did this data come from? It seems a bit arbitrary. Let’s see what happens by 2026. Right now, all these predictions are just wishful thinking.

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ForkItAll

· 7h ago

Coming with another prediction of a 50% cut? Is this analyst trying to curse me into a trap... --- 50,000 dollars Bitcoin? That must be so painful, let's earn what’s in front of us first --- Gold vs. crypto circle, the eternal old story, who is really the king of safe haven? --- Worrying about 2026 now, let's live until next year first --- Core CPI close to 1%? Sounds like the economy is about to have a big event... --- This logic is ridiculous, what does a correlation coefficient of 0.5376 indicate? --- Will 50,000 really happen? Feels like another pie in the sky --- The ratio of Bitcoin to gold dropping from 20 to 10, basically means the coins got hammered back --- Remember to call me when crude oil drops to 40 dollars, that’s the real bottom --- It's 2024 and still predicting 2026, this industry is too deep --- This macroeconomic cycle theory, it feels like every time it’s just storytelling

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SatoshiNotNakamoto

· 7h ago

The term "cut in half" is really used perfectly. 50,000 dollars in 2026? Then how much do I need to buy in now to be able to catch it?

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RiddleMaster

· 7h ago

Talking about 2026 again? I think, predictions like this... the more detailed they are, the more ridiculous they become. 50,000 USD? By then, this guy will probably have to change his tune again.

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ser_ngmi

· 7h ago

You're back to bearish Bitcoin again, huh? I've heard this argument before last year. And what's with this 0.5376 correlation coefficient? Good data doesn't mean accurate predictions. 50,000 per coin? Well, I'm waiting then, anyway, just idling around.

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