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Many traders have experienced this strange feeling: the price drops when they buy in, and rises when they sell out, as if the market is deliberately against them.
But behind this "bad luck," there are no mysterious forces.
The core issue often lies in the timing of entry and exit. Most people place orders at the most emotionally charged moments—chasing highs, panicking, or unable to tolerate pullbacks. You think you're making rational decisions, but in reality, you're already being led by the candlestick patterns.
Every price level in the market is backed by massive trading volume. Think about it: the point where you buy is usually where a wave of chasing buyers just rushed in; the point where you cut losses is often where panic is strongest and selling is fierce. The subsequent rebound isn't intentionally against you; it's just that the wave of selling has finished.
The main players and quant teams are well aware of this. They don't need to know who you are; they only need to understand what most people will do—shake out the weak hands, wash out the emotional traders, and let retail investors be shaken off.
So, if you feel you're "always going against the trend," it's not because your analysis of the direction is poor, but because you're too easily influenced by volatility. No plan, no patience—when there's a pullback, you panic; when there's a rally, you chase.
This is also why data and quant strategies are not about predicting the future—they're truly valuable in helping you reduce emotional interference. When you follow established rules for entering and exiting, rather than staring at floating profits and losses, your win rate will naturally improve.
In summary: the market never targets individuals; prices simply follow human nature. The more impatient you are, the easier you are to be shaken out; the calmer and more composed you are, the less likely you are to get trapped. Instead of constantly doubting whether you're a "contrarian indicator," learn to slow down and stay steady—then the market won't always be working against you.