2025-12-27 15:26:11

Today, XPL's market is quite interesting. It jumped directly from 0.14 yesterday to 0.15, a daily increase of 7.78%. Looking at the comment section, some are already calling for the return of the bull market, but a careful analysis of the data reveals some clues.

Trading volume is clearly shrinking, which is the first signal. The 10-day moving average has fallen by 24%, and the 20-day moving average has dropped by 13%. In plain terms, no one is really trading anymore. It looks like a lively rise, but in reality, only a few funds are moving.

Looking at the technical indicators, it’s even more amusing. The OBV just had a golden cross signaling a buy, but then the KDJ turned into a death cross, indicating a short position. The MACD is also crossing below the zero line. Such contradictory signals are common in the market and simply indicate uncertainty about the direction.

I’ve observed a phenomenon: many people’s emotions are now very easily influenced by price movements. A small rise excites them, a small fall causes panic. In fact, XPL is currently oscillating within the 0.145 to 0.15 range. The MA50 is still supporting, and the EMA120 is still pointing upward. The long-term trend hasn’t changed, but in the short term, there’s a lack of volume. Without volume, any upward push is false and cannot withstand a sharp drop.

The most critical point is that the 0.15 level has been tested several times. Each time it goes up, it gets pushed back down, making it a typical resistance level.

Buying on the rise now? Basically, it’s just handing over the order book to the main players. Panic selling? That’s giving away chips to smart money for free. The safest approach is to wait. Wait until around 0.145 to consider entering, and wait for a genuine breakout above 0.15 before adding positions. Doing so will greatly increase the success rate.

XPL6.7%

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DoomCanister

· 7h ago

It's the same story again, no volume left and still talking about a bull market, the main players are just shaking out the weak hands. --- If 0.15 can't break through, it's just a fake rally. Wait for confirmation before chasing in, no rush. --- Seeing these contradictory signals too often, now is the time to lie flat and observe. --- I just want to know, are those calling for the return of the bull market truly convinced or just trying to catch the dip? --- Who dares to chase after rising volume without confirmation? Isn't that just giving away money? --- Exactly, 0.145 is a good entry point, don't rush. --- With trading volume so shrinking, those still chasing high are probably newcomers. --- Repeated attempts to test the resistance level have all failed, which says everything.

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AirdropHarvester

· 9h ago

A rise without volume is fake; this time, they're trying to cut again. --- That's right, how many times has the 0.15 resistance level been tested? Every time, it gets smashed down. --- FOMO buyers have become bagholders, still shouting about a bull market—laughable. --- A rise without volume isn't worth much; let's wait and see at 0.145. --- Emotions are easily manipulated, this is the common flaw of retail investors. --- Technical indicators are contradictory, indicating the main players haven't made up their minds. --- A few funds are moving, big players are lying in wait for you to chase the high. --- OBV and KDJ are conflicting; this kind of market is the most deceptive. --- Still waiting for a solid breakout, or else it'll just continue to fluctuate. --- It looks like a joyful rise, but in reality, it's just a scam.

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NotFinancialAdvice

· 9h ago

Trading volume shrinks, this is the real truth, my friend is right --- Another false rally, the main force is just harvesting the little guys --- How many times has 0.15 been tested, is someone really fooled into buying? --- I'll just watch quietly, wait until 0.145 to take action --- This wave of market movement is just a shakeout, don’t be blinded by the price --- Honestly, I never touch upward moves with low volume, the risk is too high --- KDJ dead cross and MACD crossing downward, when the direction is uncertain, it's time to step back and rest --- The resistance level is so obvious, those chasing the high deserve to be trapped --- Technical indicators are conflicting, indicating the trend hasn't emerged yet, keep waiting --- My view is that any rise without volume support is just a mirage

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FlashLoanPrince

· 9h ago

It's the same story again, shrinking volume and still bragging about a bull market—typical manipulation by the big players to trap retail investors at high levels. --- How many times has the 0.15 level been broken? And people are still chasing? I think it's purely retail investors' self-awareness. --- If the 50-day moving average can't hold, just go back to 0.12. Don't ask me how I know that. --- A rise without volume is just a false rally. If you don't even understand this basic common sense, why are you still holding full positions? --- Let's wait and see. 0.145 is a good entry point, but only if there's volume. --- Every time they mention resistance levels, and then when it's broken through, they say it's a correction—laughable. --- Instead of looking at all kinds of lines, it's better to observe the movements of the main players. With such obvious volume-price divergence, what's the point? --- I just want to ask, does anyone still truly believe in technical indicators? They're all traps. --- Range-bound oscillation should be done honestly with T trades. Chasing highs and lows—no wonder you lose. --- No matter how correct your analysis is, retail investors will ultimately get cut.

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ChainMemeDealer

· 9h ago

Trading volume has dried up, so what bullish market are you talking about? This wave is just the main force accumulating positions. The 24% decline is being held down by the moving average. Dare to chase the high? You're a real brave warrior. Waiting for 0.145 is the real deal. Acting now is just giving away the goods. Price movements with insufficient volume are all fake moves. Don't be fooled. Looking at high-end indicators fighting, it actually just shows one thing—no direction. A bunch of retail investors are dazzled by a 7 or 8 percent increase, while the main force is quietly collecting chips. 0.15 has been smashed multiple times, yet some still dare to touch it. Really not taking history seriously. A market with low volume is like ghost fire—rising and falling just as quickly.

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FloorSweeper

· 10h ago

It's the same story again, a little rise and they start shouting bull market. Is it really that easy to be fooled?

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PortfolioAlert

· 10h ago

Haha, such poor trading volume and still dare to boast about a bull market, the main force is just shaking out here. --- Once again, a wave of retail investors being emotionally manipulated. A small rise and they call it a true return. --- Wait, so many conflicting signals? Then I might as well keep lying flat. --- Trying 0.15 several times and getting hammered down; this level is indeed very虚. --- Your analysis clarified it for me; it turns out I've been being played by the price all along. --- Friends chasing highs, don't bother saying goodbye. I'll be waiting for you at 0.145. --- I've seen many pump-ups with low volume, just like blowing bubbles. --- Well said, retail investors always hand over the orders to the main force. Is this fate? --- Ma50 and EMA120 are still holding up? Feels like they can't last much longer. --- I just want to ask, with such a volatile market, is there still anyone daring to chase?

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