2025-12-27 15:21:27

A market cycle theory spanning over 150 years has once again attracted attention. Farmer Sam Bena from the 19th century, although unable to foresee the emergence of digital assets, used data to reveal the underlying patterns behind all market fluctuations.

According to this theoretical framework, we are now in a critical period of the 9-year cycle from 2023 to 2032 — the so-called "Golden Three Years." From this perspective, 2026 will become an important dividing line, carrying significant meaning for this generation of investors.

What is even more worth cautioning is that the real test begins after 2027. If the upcoming 6-year prolonged downturn occurs, whether you can preserve the gains you've accumulated now will be the question. Greed and fear are most likely to cause failure at this time. Instead of blindly increasing your positions, it’s better to carefully consider how to manage risks during this window period.

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LiquidationHunter

· 7h ago

Is 2026 really that crucial? It seems like every year someone says that year is a watershed moment. Wait, does the farmer theory from 150 years ago really apply to the crypto world? That's a bit surreal. The real baptism starts in 2027, so do we still need to go all out in this wave? Greed is indeed a big enemy, but missing this wave is also hard to bear. Protecting gains is much harder than making money, to be honest.

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pvt_key_collector

· 7h ago

Is 2026 really the dividing line? I think it's just another story of cyclical theory... Every time they say there's a pattern, the market just hits you with a combo.

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defi_detective

· 8h ago

Hi, 2026 is really a hurdle. I feel I need to plan carefully. But honestly, can theories from 150 years ago fully apply to today's crypto world? I'm still a bit skeptical. The idea of a three-year gold cycle sounds beautiful, but greed really hits home. Every time I think I can earn a bit more. The baptism after 2027... just thinking about it makes me a little nervous. Still, I need to keep some savings. I've heard this cycle theory many times. Should I verify it with historical data? Risk management is a thousand times more important than adding positions. I should have understood this long ago. Is it too early to start reducing positions now? But I'm also afraid of missing the final rally. Benar gave a framework, but sometimes the market just likes to defy theories. Protecting profits is so true. Most people end up earning and then losing. Damn, should I start planning the 2027 risk-avoidance strategy now? It seems few people can hold out until 2032.

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SerRugResistant

· 8h ago

Is 2026 really that sacred? It feels like every time a certain year is called a dividing line... --- If you believe in Ser Rug Resistant, then I need to cut losses on all positions before 2027? --- Benar's theory sounds plausible, but does the market still buy into that now... --- Heard a lot about the golden three years, but I still haven't bottomed out once, haha --- So should I be accumulating or clearing out now? It's really hard to judge --- Six years of downturn? Those who went all-in in 2021 should have given up long ago --- Risk management is correct to say, but 99% of people simply can't control their hands

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SelfStaking

· 8h ago

Is 2026 really the dividing line? From what I see, the Benner cycle sounds impressive, but I still feel a bit sorry for those brothers who went all in. If the real decline starts in 2027, those who get in now better think about how to get out... Risk management is easier said than done. According to this logic, is the golden three years the window for adding positions? No, actually, the golden three years should be approached with more caution. Since we're already talking about 2032, does this cycle need to span such a long time? Does the old farmer's theory still work in the crypto market? Instead of waiting for 2026 to verify, it's better to ask yourself whether you can afford a six-year downturn. Brother Benner probably didn't expect his theory to cause such a stir in the crypto circle for so long, haha. Stop right there. I actually think that this long-term cycle theory is the easiest way to make people relax their guard.

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