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Today’s market movement is a clear replay of "The Boy Who Cried Wolf." The initial sharp decline was just a false alarm! Near the market close this morning, mainstream coins suddenly plunged at an angle of over 45 degrees, only to rebound again in the afternoon. Behind this bizarre trend, there’s both profit-taking pressure and large investors taking the opportunity to shake out weak hands.
From the market perspective, the volatility is indeed significant. The main coin index closed positively again, marking an 8-day consecutive rise, just one step away from ten days of consecutive gains. Today’s trading volume expanded to around 237.2 billion USDT, once again surpassing the 2 trillion level. But there’s a problem: the real body of the bullish candles is very small, and it has already broken above the upper Bollinger Band for 2 days. If it falls below the upper band, it will immediately test the middle band, which is a basic technical rule. The KDJ indicator has been dulled for 4 days, and next Monday could very well be a turning point. The index is pushing upward, but the CCI indicator hasn’t kept pace, indicating that active buying is actually dwindling.
This major shakeout has already sent signals: the market is obviously overbought, and a pullback could happen at any time—this is unavoidable.
The market is highly segmented. Up to 92 coins are rallying strongly, but over 3,400 are falling, with only 3 hitting the daily limit down. This shows that many altcoins are still in the phase of catching up or surging higher. In terms of operation, don’t be too greedy—after a big rise, it’s wise to sell in batches and avoid chasing highs.
The micro-market index also reveals clues: other coins can turn red, but it still can’t move, which itself indicates that short-term overbought conditions are extreme. The entire market needs a genuine correction to repair these overvalued indicators.
There are only three trading days left before the end of the year, and the probability of a pullback after a rally is quite high. Proper position management and well-planned take-profit and stop-loss strategies are key. For coins that haven’t yet surged significantly or broken out, you can continue to watch, but be sure to keep your operation rhythm steady.