#美联储回购协议计划 Gold Market Evening Analysis

From the daily chart, the doji star on Wednesday has already shown signs of continued upward momentum. Yesterday, based on this signal, a bullish outlook was given, and today did not disappoint— the 5-day moving average continued to support, and the price surged to 4531, setting a new high. The key support now is around 4470 (which is the 5-day moving average), as long as this level holds, the upward trend remains alive. Don't rush to cut positions on a dip; this is actually an opportunity to re-enter long.

In recent days, gold has been oscillating at high levels, rising during the Asian session, then pulling back in early US trading, and then rallying again in the early morning. It sounds chaotic, but in fact, it’s using time to digest selling pressure, while continuously raising short-term moving averages, warming up for the next upward move.

The hourly chart pattern is clearer: a one-way rise → high-level consolidation → continued ascent, this cycle repeats constantly. There’s an interesting timing pattern: from 7-10 AM, often a straight bullish move breaking highs; during the European session, it tends to stall and move sideways most of the time; before 10 PM during US trading, a sharp drop may occur; then, before dawn, a rebound often happens, gradually forming a V-shaped recovery.

Typically, a decline of about 60-70 points forms the low of the night. So, the 4470-4460 range tonight is worth watching. Once this level stabilizes, it’s a bullish signal, especially since it aligns with the 5-day moving average on the daily chart. If prices gradually rise in the early hours, there’s a chance to chase the rally on Monday morning. Breaking through 4530 targets the next levels at 4569-4577.

Of course, these patterns are for reference only and not strict rules. If a clear bullish rebound appears early, it can also be used as a sign of stabilization.

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