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Have you ever experienced this—staring at the order book all day, tapping your calculator, only to end up taking a loss or getting trapped? It feels like trading platforms are black holes, sucking your money every day.
Let's be honest: many people treat trading as gambling, desperately trying to precisely predict the next market move. But there's a fatal logical flaw in this approach—there's no such thing as a 100% certain rise or fall in the market. Instead of obsessing over this, it's better to change your mindset: how to make the odds favor you.
Having navigated this market for 5 years, I've gradually figured out a pattern—rather than making precise predictions, it's better to design a probabilistic advantage. This idea is actually quite simple and involves three steps:
**Step 1: Abandon precise guidance, focus only on high-probability trends.** Some always want to buy at the lowest point and sell at the highest, as if every candlestick is a pixel. But in practice: when the price breaks through a key resistance level with volume supporting it, the probability of an increase is often significantly higher than random guessing. At this point, follow with a small position; conversely, if it breaks support, just exit—don't expect a rebound. Vague but correct judgments are actually much more beneficial than precise but wrong predictions.
**Step 2: Build a defensive system.** Before entering each trade, set your stop-loss point. This doesn't mean you'll always get stopped out, but it ensures that a single loss won't spiral out of control. The market's biggest danger isn't a single loss but consecutive liquidations caused by lack of defense.
**Step 3: Use time to buy space.** Instead of frequent trading, focus on proper position management and wait for truly high-probability opportunities. Cryptocurrency markets are volatile, but because of this, patience and holding or gradually building positions can better average out costs.
In essence, the "ATM" and the "money-consuming beast" in this market are the same thing—it's all about how you use them. It's not the market's problem; it's whether your strategy is right.