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These past couple of days, Bitcoin's price movement has been quite interesting—this morning it surged to the 89,500 pressure level, but failed to hold and started to pull back. Currently, it’s fluctuating around 88,500. Is it gathering strength to break through the 90,000 mark, or is it heading back to test the 87,000 support? The most concerning thing is that on-chain liquidation data has exposed a problem: once it slips below 87,000, the $763 million long positions floating above will be liquidated.
From a technical perspective, on the 4-hour chart, today’s rebound at 89,500 faced significant resistance, indicating considerable selling pressure. The price is now oscillating around 88,500, creating a classic "unable to go up, unable to go down" situation. If it can stabilize above 88,500 with increased volume, breaking through 89,500 is still possible, with potential targets at 90,500, and if momentum is strong, even testing the previous high at 93,000. On the flip side, if after some consolidation it falls below 88,500, it could accelerate toward the critical support at 87,000. Currently, MACD and RSI do not give clear directional signals, but changes in trading volume are the key to judging whether a breakout is genuine or a false move.
There are also some noteworthy data points. According to on-chain monitoring, if BTC drops below 87,000, the liquidation of long positions on major exchanges will trigger a high-intensity closeout of $763 million. Conversely, if it breaks above 90,000, there will be a liquidation pressure of $402 million on short positions. In other words, the market has accumulated a large amount of leveraged positions between 87,000 and 90,000. Once the price moves outside this range, it could trigger a chain reaction of liquidations, pushing the market toward more extreme one-sided trends.