2025-12-26 12:27:29

Regarding the current on-chain hot projects, good projects are indeed scarce, and most are still in the early stages.

In the derivatives track, the overall market shows repetitive internal competition, with serious project homogeneity. Ultimately, competition boils down to resource allocation. However, Aster still has some highlights in perpetual trading, while other targets are currently difficult to develop.

The prediction market landscape is more obvious—Kalshi and Polymarket have already formed giant-level monopolies, leaving limited opportunities to participate in the secondary market. The overall approach is: for derivatives, watch Aster's development potential; for prediction markets, focus on whether there are suitable entry points in the secondary market.

ASTER1.47%

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CoffeeNFTs

· 6h ago

Aster is indeed interesting, but honestly, when it comes to derivatives, it's all about spending money. Small investors really don't have much to do.

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GweiObserver

· 6h ago

Derivatives are really at the limit, all just copy and paste... Aster is indeed a bit interesting, but that's about it, no real surprises. Kalshi and Polymarket are too well established, newcomers have no chance, better to wait for secondary opportunities. Good projects are scarce, mostly in early stages... The current bear market really tests aesthetic judgment. It's still a bit late to enter the derivatives market now, mainly waiting to see if Aster can come up with some tricks. The monopoly pattern is so rigid, new projects trying to break through... cough, it's difficult. Actually, resources decide everything. If you don't have money, don't even think about it. Check if there are any overlooked opportunities in the secondary market. It's competitive! Too competitive! Besides Aster, there's really nothing worth watching. Good projects are truly rare; most are just early-stage trial and error, a money-burning game. The prediction market is a done deal, with Kalshi and Polymarket as the undisputed duopoly. The homogeneity in the derivatives track is so serious, might as well wait and see how Aster performs before talking.

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HashBrownies

· 6h ago

Derivatives are the playground for the big players; retail investors just end up losing money. Aster is indeed somewhat interesting, but don't expect to overtake them in a bend... In the prediction market, Kalshi and Poly have a tight monopoly, so secondary market opportunities depend on luck.

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QuietlyStaking

· 6h ago

The derivatives track is really terrible. Is it interesting to keep competing like this... Aster is okay, but I really can't see the difference in others. Kalshi and Polymarket, these big players, are already well-fed; newcomers don't have much of a chance. Is there anything worth jumping into in the secondary prediction market... feels like just running alongside. Wait, are there really few good projects, or are we just too picky? Perpetuals, Aster is indeed somewhat interesting, but let's forget about the others. Resources are too uneven; how can small projects compete... Honestly, we still have to copy the big players' homework; there's no other way. It's really hard to find a dark horse in this round. Let's accept our fate, everyone.

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BearMarketBarber

· 6h ago

Derivatives are really intense, a bunch of homogeneous trash... Aster does have some potential, but don't get your hopes up too high. Kalshi and Polymarket, these two giants, can't be broken through with new projects, better to wait for secondary opportunities. Good projects are scarce, early-stage projects are too risky... Now it's all about resource games. Prediction markets are dominated by two top players, others have no chance at all. The fierce homogeneous competition shows that resources are the real moat. Aster perpetual looks promising, but as for the rest... forget it. The real way to make money is to wait for secondary entry points; first-tier projects are too risky right now.

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