Looking at the recent market trends, they are basically in line with previous predictions. The 4-hour chart is consolidating, and the market reaction after options expiration has not been fully released yet. Once the US stock market opens in the evening, the volatility space should open up.

Historically, the pattern around Christmas is similar: first a downward adjustment, followed by an upward opportunity. Usually, there is a weekly rebound around New Year’s. So my approach is simple—take advantage of this adjustment to buy spot at lows, increase the position to 50%, and patiently wait for the year-end rally.

Even if there isn’t much increase after New Year’s, a 50% spot position is still quite stable. At the current prices, there’s no risk of being trapped in Bitcoin, Ethereum, or mainstream coins.

My trading plan is this: as long as Bitcoin retraces to around 85,000, I will top up my spot position to 50%. If it drops to the 70,000s, I’ll add more gradually. But at the 50,000s? Honestly, I don’t have the patience to wait. Many people try to catch the bottom at the lowest point, but often they miss it. Instead, it’s better to build positions in stages at low levels—this is a long-term, prudent approach. Institutions buy in phases and can’t pinpoint the exact bottom either, so there’s no need for us to be smarter than them. For other coins, just follow Bitcoin’s rhythm. If the spot position becomes suitable later, I will remind everyone.

From the daily chart perspective, if Bitcoin can consolidate around 85,000 and hold above 83,800 without breaking, then after a pullback, it could rebound again to the 92,800–94,000 range. Whether it can hold above 93,800 on this pullback is critical; if it fails, it might go further down.