#日本央行明年或两次加息 【Is the Thirty-Year Zero Interest Rate Era Coming to an End? The Central Bank Governor's Statement Has the Global Arbitrage Capital Sleepless Tonight】

During the Christmas holiday, while global traders were relaxing, Bank of Japan Governor Ueda Kazuo dropped a signal that the market interpreted as a “shock.”

In his speech at the Japan Business Federation, he explicitly stated: “If the likelihood of achieving the 2% inflation target continues to rise, we will consider changing monetary policy.” Once this statement was made, the market immediately interpreted it as Japan, the last bastion of negative interest rates globally, about to “draw the sword” and shift.

What does this mean for the crypto world?
Cryptocurrencies cannot exist in a vacuum. If global liquidity tightens further due to the Bank of Japan’s shift, combined with recent fatigue in ETF fund flows, the macro headwinds facing the market will significantly increase. This may explain why Bitcoin has been so hesitant and “anemic” when repeatedly testing previous highs.

The “coming of age” of thirty years of monetary policy may be late, but it will never be absent. When the “dove king” seriously considers drawing the sword, the best strategy might be: stay respectful, fasten your seatbelt.

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