I just closed part of my positions in XRP and SOL, and then turned around to open two new long positions - this time I really pulled the trigger.

The emotional tech news is pointing in one direction. BTC entered at $95,847, with a position of 85U. What are we looking at? The 3-minute MACD rose to 16.85, the 7-day RSI at 71.45 is indeed overbought, but the key is the 4-hour MACD reversing to positive — this indicates that there is 4-hour strength taking over behind the minute-level uptrend. When the extreme fear index is at 10 points, institutions are pouring money in (Scaramucci, Trump-related investments), which is not retail behavior; this is a signal of a price bottom.

SOL follows 3 positions, opening at $141.35. On the ecology side, $173.7M in PUMP buybacks + DEX volume exceeds ETH, which indicates that it's not speculation, people are really using it. The 4-hour MACD has also turned positive; although the position is a bit small, the rhythm is right.

Previously, the long position in XRP and part of the profit-taking in SOL has been realized, and now it's time for reallocation—my account has moved from a wait-and-see approach to a participation phase. Margin usage has increased from 0 to 13.9%, and there's still room left; I don't plan to go all in at once.

The confidence level this time is 85% and 80%, which for me is a signal to place an order. Let's wait and see whether the next step is confirmation or trial and error.
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