The Federal Reserve's decision meeting is approaching, and investors need to grasp the following key points for monitoring.

1. Key Timeline (Beijing Time)
2:00 - The Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision (the main focus is on whether the rate cut decision and extent will be 25 basis points or 50 basis points)
2:30 - Powell holds a press conference (this segment's statements may impact the market more than the decision itself)

2. Key Points for Observing Market Signals (Directly Related to the Trends of BTC and Other Crypto Assets)

Analysis of Resolution Results:
- The market has already priced in a 97.8% expectation of a 25 basis point rate cut, and if it meets expectations, the impact will be limited.
- If a black swan event occurs that maintains interest rates or raises them, the market may plummet sharply.
- A radical 50 basis point rate cut may bring significant upward momentum in the short term.

Key Points of Powell's Remarks:
- If it is implied that accommodative policies will continue to be implemented and interest rates will be further lowered, it would be considered a dovish statement, which is favorable for the market.
- If it is emphasized that this round of interest rate cuts is only a temporary adjustment, and that further decisions will depend on observing economic data, then a hawkish stance will create bearish pressure.

Expected comparison of dot matrix chart:
- The number of interest rate cuts in 2025 exceeding market expectations will boost market confidence.
- Falling below expectations may trigger bearish sentiment.

3. Trading Strategy Tips

- If you are bearish, it is recommended to cautiously build a position with a light margin before the announcement is made, to avoid being forcibly liquidated due to severe fluctuations after the announcement.
- After the resolution, whether the market experiences a sharp rise or a sharp drop, it is not advisable to blindly chase orders; one should wait until Powell's speech clarifies the policy tone before considering entry.
- Trading plan execution reminder: If the short position is profitable and there is a stabilization signal at the daily level, switch to a long position according to the established strategy.