Track real-time hotspots in the crypto world and seize the best trading opportunities. Today is Wednesday, October 29, 2025. I am Wang Yibo! Good morning to all crypto friends ☀ Daily attendance 👍 Like and make a fortune 🍗🍗🌹🌹,

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The three major U.S. stock indices closed higher collectively, continuing to hit new highs. The Nasdaq rose by 0.8%, the Dow Jones increased by 0.34%, and the S&P 500 index gained 0.23%. Nvidia rose about 5%, reaching a new high with a total market value nearing $5 trillion. The U.S. government "shutdown" continues as the Senate rejected the temporary funding bill for the 13th time. According to CME's "FedWatch": the probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in October is 99.5%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate is 0.5%. The probability of a cumulative 50 basis points cut by the Federal Reserve in December is 91.6%. The crypto market is down across the board 📉, and the contract market has seen a double explosion of bulls and bears.

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Bitcoin maintained a range-bound fluctuation yesterday, with the market experiencing ups and downs but not breaking through the existing framework. It is currently back around 113000 for consolidation, and the short-term fluctuation pattern is clear. The intra-day long-short competition shows phase characteristics, with significant differences in driving factors and price reactions at different times. During the day session, there was volatility, with cautious trading from both bulls and bears, resulting in limited fluctuations. In the evening session, the market rebounded driven by U.S. stocks, probing the key resistance level around 116039 before facing pressure and retreating, with the rebound momentum quickly diminishing. In the midnight session, the market saw unusual movements, with prices plunging to a low point of 112150 before quickly rebounding, ultimately returning to around 113000 for consolidation, demonstrating strong support resilience. Technically, the 4-hour chart shows a probing high followed by a pullback, but the adjustment space and structure are insufficient to change the fluctuation pattern; this rebound is a local correction rather than a trend reversal. Only by breaking through the range further today and closing at a high position will the pattern change materially. The current lower boundary of the range and the ascending trend line provide solid support for prices. Meanwhile, the market pace has slowed, and the long-short competition is in a stalemate, making it difficult to show a clear trend in the short term; the fluctuation pattern continues, with effective support but insufficient upward momentum. In the morning, short-term strategies should still focus on the range, suggesting layouts around key points, strict control of take profit and stop loss, and close attention to range breakout signals to adjust strategies.

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Ethereum oscillated down to a low of 3929 in the early morning and then rebounded, currently oscillating around 3980, showing characteristics of "downward probing and rebound." The daily tone is slightly oscillating. From a technical perspective, the 4-hour chart formed an upward staircase after stabilizing at 3700, with 3700 being a secondary low and a key critical point: if it breaks below, the structure will be damaged or there could be a deep adjustment; if it holds, the structure remains intact. In terms of support, the 4-hour upward trend line and the lower Bollinger Band resonate at 3850, which serves both as trend defense and short-term oscillation lower support. A pullback to this level is likely to trigger a bullish rebound. The trading volume is relatively weak, restricting a one-sided market, and it is highly probable that it will maintain a "step up and a pullback" oscillating pattern, with repeated tug-of-war within the range. In terms of operations, closely follow the oscillating pattern: if it holds above 3850, consider going long at a low, targeting 3980-4000; if it rebounds to the upper limit of the range and momentum weakens, consider going short at a high, relying on previous high points for stop-loss. The market lacks one-sided momentum, making "short at high and long at low" the optimal strategy, requiring careful control of points, relying on support and resistance for trading, ensuring risk control, and avoiding chasing highs and cutting losses.