The expectations for Polymarket's big move are getting stronger. Today, the junior sister will teach you how to effectively interact with Polymarket.

🌟Low Risk
Place bets as the predicted event is about to end, but be careful not to do so too early, as there are variables that can arise at any time.
Recommendation: Polymarket's Crypto 15min/1h market allows betting until the last minute.
Advantages: Fast settlement, frequent events, can quickly increase trading volume.

🌟Medium Risk
1. In a volatile market, open both Yes and No. Buy Yes when the probability of Yes is higher than 50%, and buy No when the probability of No is higher than 50%. But note: the premise is that the K-line needs to have upper and lower shadows.
This method is suitable for the 1h market, allowing more time for hedging operations, and is not suitable for markets below 1h.
Risk: When encountering a one-sided market, it is impossible to hedge. It is best to hedge no matter what after 45 minutes.

2. Bet on the time points with the highest probability of daily market pullbacks No
Junior sister has statistically observed that the likelihood of the market closing lower between 11 AM and 2 PM is relatively high. The core logic behind this is that Wall Street is closed and foreign capital is asleep, resulting in lower trading activity during this period, which increases the likelihood of a decline over the long term.

3. In a one-sided market, bet on one side for 1 hour, and then place 4 bets in the opposite direction in the 15-minute market.
For example, recently BTC has been falling, you can choose to open a 100 USDC 1h put option, and then open 4 of 25 USDC call options.
The core logic is: to carry out hedging operations, betting on a one-sided direction during a one-sided market is usually correct. Occasionally, a small rebound in 15 minutes can yield excess profits. The risks are the opposite.

4. Bet on the bullish trend of strong coins, bet on the bearish trend of major coins.
Currently, Polymarket only has BTC/ETH. If you want to bet on more tokens, you need to go to Limitless.
The core logic is also hedging.

🌟High Risk
Daily normal interaction Polymarket
Bullish and bearish candles will not last too long; when there are 6 to 7 consecutive candles rising, it begins to move in the opposite direction.
Looking at the emotional aspect, when one bearish or bullish candle is longer than the previous one, you can bet in that direction.