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Summary of the Fed's interest rate cut meeting, Favourable Information is here, let me briefly share my insights.
Support for further interest rate cuts comes from 11 officials, while 6 oppose it, a ratio of almost 2 to 1, and there are even 2 officials who believe rates should be raised. Currently, the dot plot indicates that there will be 2 rate cuts within the year, which is similar to previous market expectations, so everyone has a rough idea. However, this data is not set in stone, and the future development will depend on economic data. For example, non-farm payrolls, CPI, and other data; any fluctuations could lead to changes in the dot plot.
But I think it's basically a done deal that there will be three rate cuts this year. The reason is simple: Trump is more eager for a rate cut than we are. Next year is the midterm election, and the current economic situation in the United States is not very optimistic, with rising unemployment. If interest rates can't be lowered, the economy will be even more affected. Trump definitely wants to boost the economy before the election, and a rate cut is one of his trump cards. He will surely keep pressuring the Fed to cut rates several more times.
Therefore, if the market experiences fluctuations later due to poor data, those will be rare good opportunities. Every drop is a golden pit for us to enter the market. Once the Fed truly starts to continuously cut interest rates, the stock market, bond market, and other investment markets are likely to welcome a wave of upward trends. We should seize these fluctuations, lay out our plans in advance, and just wait for profits.
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