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With only 5 days left until the Fed's interest rate decision, market sentiment is rising increasingly. Let's analyze the possible market trends before and after the rate cut.
There are three main predictive scenarios:
1. A slight pullback may occur on the eve of the rate cut, but after the rate cut is officially implemented, the market is expected to gradually rebound and rise.
2. Before the rate cut, the market may continue to rise due to psychological expectations, but after the rate cut is implemented, it may experience a period of pullback as the expectations have been digested, followed by another rise.
3. After the rate cut, the positive news has been fully absorbed by the market, which may first lead to a round of pullback, and then start a new round of rise.
Regardless of how the market fluctuates, whether it falls first and then rises or rises first and then falls, or even goes through a period of consolidation before rising, the long-term trend is likely to be a gradual rise. Since short-term movements are difficult to predict accurately, we should pay more attention to the big trend and grasp the overall direction.
For investors, it may be worthwhile to consider buying during pullbacks and holding firmly after purchase. One should not focus too much on short-term fluctuations but should look at the long-term benefits that this rate-cutting cycle may bring.
Of course, this is just an analysis based on the current situation, and actual market trends may be influenced by various factors. Investors need to take into account their own risk tolerance and other related factors when making decisions.