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Recently, there are opinions that the stock market may soon welcome a bull run lasting for 20 years. This prediction is based on observations and analysis of economic cycles.
It is speculated that this round of the stock market bull run may start in September 2024, corresponding to the real estate boom period of the past 20 years. Some analysts believe that around 2027, the Shanghai Composite Index is expected to break through the 6124-point barrier, which happens to be the historical high from 20 years ago, potentially marking the beginning of a new era.
If this prediction comes true, future investors may find it difficult to see the stock market below 3000 points, just as it is currently hard to see housing prices at 3000 yuan per square meter. It is worth noting that the real estate boom of the past 20 years and the potential bull run in the stock market over the next 20 years can both be seen as components of a complete Kuznets cycle. The Kuznets cycle, also known as the long wave cycle, is an important concept that describes long-term economic fluctuations.
However, we should also be aware that any market prediction carries uncertainty. When making decisions, investors need to consider various factors in addition to focusing on these long-term trend forecasts and make judgments based on their own situations. In any case, continuously monitoring market trends and adjusting investment strategies in a timely manner is essential for investors.