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Altcoins are lagging Bitcoin, per today’s CMC Altcoin Season Index reading of 39/100 (Bitcoin Season).
BTC dominance 60.96% (−0.44 pts 24h) and CMC Altcoin Season Index 39/100 (Bitcoin Season) – Capital rotation remains Bitcoin-leaning despite recent ETH gains.
Ethereum ETF inflows surge – ETH (+19.98% 7d) outperforms BTC (+0.53% 7d) as U.S. spot-ETH ETF AUM hits $14.83B, up 38% monthly.
SUI, Virtuals lead altcoin movers – SUI Ecosystem (+25.59% 30d) and AI Agents (+8.21% 30d) show selective strength, but sector rotation lacks breadth.
Deep Dive
1. Bitcoin Dominance Holds Despite ETH Momentum
BTC dominance dipped slightly to 60.96% (-0.44 pts 24h), while the Altcoin Season Index rose to 39/100 from 23 a month ago. ETH dominance grew to 11.13% (+0.27 pts 24h), driven by $3.61B in new ETF inflows since July 1 (CoinMarketCap).
What this means: While Ethereum is gaining, most altcoins aren’t keeping pace – 72% of top 100 alts underperformed BTC this week.
2. Institutional Shift to ETH Drives Narrow Altcoin Strength
ETH’s 19.98% weekly rally coincided with U.S. ETH ETF AUM reaching $14.83B, while BTC ETF flows slowed (+2.08% 7d). SUI (+10.95% 7d) and Virtuals Protocol (+1.71% 7d) benefited from ecosystem-specific catalysts like BTCfi integrations and AI agent adoption.
What this means: Money isn’t flooding into altcoins broadly – investors are targeting ETH and narratives with clear institutional tailwinds.
3. Derivatives Show Cautious Altcoin Positioning
Perpetuals open interest fell 1.31% for alts vs. 0.9% for BTC, while altcoin funding rates trail BTC’s +0.011%. Liquidations were 84% lower for alts than BTC in the past 24h, suggesting reduced speculative activity (CoinMarketCap).
What this means: Traders aren’t aggressively betting on altcoin breakouts despite ETH’s lead.
Conclusion: Bitcoin Maintains Control
The crypto market remains Bitcoin-dominant, with Ethereum being the exception rather than the rule. Watch the BTC Dominance 60% level – a break below could signal broader altcoin rotation, but current data suggests caution. For sustained altcoin outperformance, we’d need to see the Altcoin Season Index cross 50/100 alongside rising social volume for non-ETH projects.