There are many theories circulating about market cycles in the Crypto Assets market, the most common being the Bitcoin four-year bull-bear cycle. However, after in-depth research, I found that the actual situation differs from the general perception.

Many people believe that after the Bitcoin halving, a bull market will immediately arrive. However, the halving event is more accurately described as a catalyst for the peak of the bull market, rather than a starting point. Through the analysis of historical data of Bitcoin, I found that Bitcoin actually follows the market rule of "one year bear, three years bull," rather than a simple four-year cycle.

If you look at the annual trend chart of Bitcoin, this pattern is quite obvious. Many investors often mention 2017, 2021, and 2025 as bull market years, but this overly simplified cycle theory has caused many people to miss out on market opportunities. It is precisely based on the understanding of this law that 2023 is already a good time to position oneself.

The importance of deeply studying market rules is self-evident. Blindly trusting others without conducting your own analysis and verification, even if the other party has made substantial profits in the market, does not necessarily mean they have a true professional understanding of the market. The result is often that an opportunity to start laying out profits two years in advance turns into a situation where one ends up buying at a high position at the end of the cycle.

The investment market requires independent thinking and in-depth research to see the true patterns beneath the surface.