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The probability that The Federal Reserve (FED) will keep the Intrerest Rate unchanged in May is 91.7%.
Jin10 data reported on April 25: According to CME’s “The Federal Reserve (FED) Watch”: The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping the interest rate unchanged in May is 91.7%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 8.3%. The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the interest rate unchanged until June is 37.3%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 57.8%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 4.9%.