Recently, there has been a hot topic in the crypto circle—the IPO expectations for XRP in 2026. The comment section is full of all kinds of opinions: some are eager to try, some are cautiously observing. I decided to dig out the data reports I have and want to discuss whether this is reliable. Let's start with the big picture. I specifically compared the latest valuation data of the global tech and crypto sectors. These numbers are quite interesting: SpaceX leads with $1.5 trillion, equivalent to several traditional tech giants; OpenAI follows closely with $830 billion, capitalizing on AI dividends; ByteDance remains steady at $480 billion; along with Anthropic ($230 billion), Databricks ($160 billion), and Stripe ($120 billion), each a leader in their respective fields. According to this report, the IPO valuation expectation for XRP is set at $50 billion. My first impression upon seeing this number is—it's conservative but quite reasonable. Why do I say that? Compared to those giants, XRP's advantage lies in the maturity of cross-border payment scenarios. But honestly, compared to disruptive innovations like SpaceX and OpenAI, the potential for imagination is indeed limited. A valuation of $50 billion is neither overly ambitious nor undervaluing its worth—it's somewhere in between.

Speaking of XRP, you first need to understand what it actually is. As the native token of the Ripple network, XRP is essentially designed for cross-border payments and settlements, with a clear goal—help financial institutions achieve fast and inexpensive international remittances. This positioning determines its value ceiling: the actual adoption rate of RippleNet, the clarity of the regulatory environment, and the role it plays as a bridge between traditional finance and crypto assets. Let's look at the fundamentals. How important is the resolution of the SEC lawsuit (settled in 2025)? For institutions, it means a significant reduction in legal risks. Following that, the US spot XRP ETF launched, attracting approximately $1 billion to $1.15 billion in funds in just over half a year. This isn't retail enthusiasm; it's genuine institutional allocation. Ripple itself is also taking action. From a simple payment network, it is gradually evolving into a full-stack financial infrastructure provider—launching the RLUSD stablecoin (market cap exceeding $1 billion), and laying out plans in the RWA (Real World Asset Tokenization) space. These changes indicate ecosystem expansion and increased sector activity. What about technical analysis and market expectations? A prediction from a major bank is quite interesting—assuming ETF inflows continue and regulation remains friendly, XRP could reach $8 in 2026. While predictions are always uncertain, this price reflects the long-term value imagination space that institutions see in XRP. From a trading perspective, the $1.75–$2.00 range can be viewed as an attractive entry point, with targets gradually rising to $2.36, $3.66, and beyond that, a larger space of $4–$8. Of course, setting a stop-loss below $1.61 is standard practice. The core logic boils down to these points: regulatory clouds have cleared, institutions are allocating real capital, and Ripple’s ecosystem is expanding. These factors combined are enough to support further growth potential.

First Week Review of 2026: Broad Rally Starts, Dogecoin Leads! Dear friends, here is the market summary for the first week of the new year (12.29-01.04)! The market welcomed 2026 with widespread optimism, showing an overall upward trend. 1. Overall Market Trend: A Good Start, Gentle Rise This week, the total cryptocurrency market capitalization stabilized above $3.1 trillion, closing at $3.11T. Market sentiment was positive, with continuous capital inflows, setting a good tone for the new year's market. The trend continued from the pre-holiday rally at the beginning of the week, with slight fluctuations midweek, but overall maintaining an upward channel. 2. Major Coins' Price Changes: All Green, MEME Coins Explode All eight major mainstream cryptocurrencies observed this week recorded gains, with clear profit-taking effects. • Leading the Charge: - DOGE (+17.96%): Leading the pack, nearly 18% increase, showing high enthusiasm in the MEME sector and community. - AVAX (+9.66%) and XRP (+8.86%): Following closely, performing strongly. AVAX ecosystem remains active, while XRP may be driven by potential positive expectations. - SOL (+8.17%): Ecosystem continues to thrive, with steady price increases. • Steady Growth: - ETH (+7.15%): As a market indicator, healthy gains, outperforming the market. - ADA (+6.84%), BNB (+4.80%), BTC (+4.06%): Moderate increases, with BTC acting as a stabilizer, its small but steady rise anchoring the market. 3. Major Events This Week 1. Macro Expectations for the New Year: The market generally expects global liquidity to remain loose in 2026, supporting risk assets. 2. Continuous ETF Capital Inflows: The US spot Bitcoin ETF continued to see net inflows, indicating steady institutional demand. 3. Ecosystem Hotspot Rotation: DeFi and NFT activities within ecosystems like Solana and Avalanche remain active, driving their native tokens higher. 4. Signal of MEME Season Return: The strong rise of Dogecoin may indicate increased risk appetite, and the MEME coin sector could regain attention. 4. Market Outlook for Next Week 1. Directional Judgment: In the absence of major negative news, the market is likely to continue oscillating upward. Close attention should be paid to whether BTC can effectively break through the previous high (around $92,000-$93,000). 2. Key Variables: Macro factors such as US economic data and any new regulatory developments could trigger volatility. 3. Style Trends: If BTC consolidates sideways, funds may continue flowing into altcoins, especially sectors that performed strongly this week (such as public chains and MEME coins), which may sustain the rally. 5. Opportunities to Watch Next Week 1. Leading Sectors: Focus on the sustainability of public chains (SOL, AVAX) and MEME coins (DOGE and other tokens within their ecosystems). 2. Rotation Opportunities for Lagging Assets: Mainstream coins with smaller gains this week, like BNB and ADA, may catch up if market sentiment persists. 3. BTC Ecosystem: As BTC remains high, related projects such as Layer2 solutions and Runes protocols are worth continuous monitoring. 4. Risk Reminder: Avoid chasing after coins that have already surged significantly; wait for pullback support levels before considering entry. Always prioritize risk management. Summary: The first week of the new year delivered a positive market performance. The trend remains, but caution is advised. Wishing everyone continued gains next week!